Gujarat Titans strengthened their IPL 2026 play-off position after an emphatic 77-run win over Rajasthan Royals in Jaipur, with their chances of GT qualification expected to increase after the win saw a massive increase in net run rate.The latest win now makes Gujarat Titans a 72.52% chance of making the playoffs and a 38.71% chance of finishing in the top two after their biggest ever IPL win by runs. Shibman Gul’s 84, Sai Sudharsan’s 55 and Rashid Khan’s brilliant 4/33 led GT to a dominant victory that moved them to second in the standings and pushed their net run rate from -0.147 to +0.228.Rajasthan Royals, meanwhile, are slightly ahead of Gujarat overall despite the loss, with 80.31% playoff probability and 44.07% top two probability.
This discrepancy is largely driven by the rest of the schedule. While GT still face Sunrisers Hyderabad, Kolkata Knight Riders and Chennai Super Kings in their last three league matches, Rajasthan’s remaining matches will be against Delhi Capitals, Lucknow Supergiants and Mumbai Indians – all teams currently outside the top seven and with fairly weak playoff projections.
IPL 2026 Playoff Odds
| The team | Playoff possibility | Top two probability | Average finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| SRH | 89.59% | 60.22% | 2.64 |
| PBKS | 84.81% | 53.25% | 2.65 |
| RR | 80.31% | 44.07% | 3.54 |
| RCB | 77.55% | 41.98% | 3.08 |
| GT | 72.52% | 38.71% | 4.25 |
| CSK | 38.81% | 12.62% | 5.45 |
| KKR | 5.23% | 0.06% | 7.11 |
| M.I | 1.50% | 0.01% | 8.46 |
| LSG | 1.56% | 0.00% | 8.72 |
| DC | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.08 |
The result also made small changes to the broader playoff run. Punjab Kings were marginally stronger at 84.81%, while Sunrisers Hyderabad remained strong playoff favorites at 89.59%.Royal Challengers Bengaluru remained steady at 77.55%, their massive +1.234 net run rate continuing to provide the strongest safety cushion in the league despite recent inconsistencies.After GT’s win Chennai Super Kings suffered a slight drop in projection as a direct rival effectively moved further up the standings, leaving CSK at 38.81%.Kolkata Knight Riders remain distant outsiders at just 5.23%, while Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Supergiants hover around the 1.5% mark, realistically requiring near-perfect finishes combined with multiple drops elsewhere.Meanwhile, Delhi Capitals, despite being mathematically alive on paper, failed to qualify in any of the latest 100,000 simulations offered.
Rest of IPL 2026 Fixtures: Predicted Winners
| Match | Fixture | The expected favorite |
|---|---|---|
| Match 53 | CSK vs LSG | CSK |
| Match 54 | RCB vs MI | RCB |
| Match 55 | PBKS vs. DC | PBKS |
| Match 56 | GT vs SRH | GT (very close) |
| Match 57 | RCB vs KKR | RCB |
| Match 58 | PBKS Vs MI | PBKS |
| Match 59 | LSG vs CSK | CSK (very close) |
| Match 60 | KKR Vs GT | GT |
| Match 61 | PBKS vs RCB | PBKS (very close) |
| Match 62 | DC vs. RR | RR |
| Match 63 | CSK vs SRH | SRH |
| Match 64 | RR vs. LSG | RR |
| Match 65 | KKR vs MI | KKR |
| Match 66 | GT vs CSK | GT |
| Match 67 | SRH vs RCB | SRH |
| Match 68 | LSG vs PBKS | PBKS |
| Match 69 | MI v. RR | RR |
The predictions were made using a simulation model that replayed the remaining IPL 2026 league stage 100,000 times using current points, net run rate, recent form, remaining fixtures and weighted match win probabilities.
