With 13 games remaining in the league stage, LSG and MI are already out of contention for the playoffs. GT and RCB have almost qualified, while SRH will have to do very badly not to make the playoffs from here. PBKS is also well positioned to get there. CSK and RR have a better chance of finishing in the top four in terms of points, even if jointly. KKR and DC have very few chances really. There are 8,192 possible combinations of results left, so nothing is certain yet for any of the eight teams remaining in the race.
We look at the possibilities:
- GT has a 99.7% chance of finishing in the top four in points (including possible ties), and their chances of finishing first or second individually or jointly are an impressive 82.6%.
- With a win on Wednesday, RCB have a 99% chance of finishing in the top four and a 77.6% chance of finishing in the top two in terms of points.
- SRH have a 77% chance of finishing in the top four in terms of points, and only a 31.4% chance of finishing in the top two.
- PBKS has a 63.6% chance of finishing in the top four in points, and only a 22.2% chance of finishing in the top two.
- At 53.2%, CSK have an even better chance of finishing in the top four, but only a 19% chance of finishing in the top two.
- RR have a slightly lower 53% chance of finishing in the top four and only a 15.3% chance of occupying one of the top two slots.
- KKR’s already slim chances of making the last four have shrunk to a mere 2.6% on Wednesday, and they can no longer tie for either of the top two slots.
- DC’s playoff hopes remain at just 2.7 percent. They could, at best, finish third, tied with anywhere between two and three other teams.
How we approach the possibilities: There are 8,192 possible combinations of results and 13 games remaining. For each team, we looked at how many of those combinations finish and finish in the top four, either alone or tied. We also looked at how many combinations placed each team individually or jointly in the top two. For example, DC only finished in the top four in 220 of the possible combinations of match results, which translates to only a 2.7 percent chance of being in the top four — and that’s jointly, not alone.
